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The West Attacked Russia’s Economy. The Result Is Another Stalemate.

Economists expect sanctions to cause Russia to stagnate as its economy grows 1.5% this year. The West's failure to quickly bring Russia's economy to its knees mirrors a larger stalemate in Ukraine.

  • The International Monetary Fund expects Russia's economy to grow 1.5% this year, following a shrinkage of 2.1% the year before.
  • Sanctions have constrained but not stopped Russia's ability to finance the war in Ukraine.
  • Russia has managed to avoid collapse and achieve some growth through government stimulus, a shift to a war economy, and trade rerouting to Asian partners.
  • Government spending as part of GDP has jumped by 13.5% in Q1 2023, with much of the growth attributed to weapons and military production.
  • Russia's global demand for commodities and the pivot to Asia as a trading partner have also supported the economy.
The West Attacked Russia’s Economy. The Result Is Another Stalemate.
Failure to quickly bring the Russian economy to its knees for its invasion of Ukraine mirrors a larger stalemate on the battlefield

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