- Silicon Valley Bank failed due to investing most of its deposits in a long-term bond portfolio without an interest rate hedge.
- Interest rates have increased globally, making it reasonable to ask if a similar crash could happen elsewhere.
- Volatile deposits, high interest rate risk, and insufficient hedges are the three ingredients to a bank's failure.
- Comparing vulnerabilities of the US, Eurozone, and Japan banking markets, Japan has the highest potential risk of 18% equity hit.
- Models need to be in place to understand depositor behavior accurately.
Silicon Valley Bank crash is a red flag on rate risk
Investors need to look harder at vulnerabilities across the big banking markets
