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Powell’s Comments Unleash Unsettling Volatility

The remarks by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell fueled considerable volatility in markets, causing a yield spike, a stock selloff and an inversion of the 2s-10s yield curve. The Fed is lacking a comprehensive assessment of policy risks in today’s fluid economy.

  • Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's remarks fueled considerable volatility in markets that could risk both economic well-being and financial stability.
  • Comments at the press conference caused significantly more volatility than the prior publication of the central bank’s policy decision and Powell’s written remarks.
  • Market reactions included a yield spike at the front end of the bond market, with the two-year breaking 5% for the first time since 2007, an across-the-board selloff in stocks, with the S&P 500 Index dropping 1.5% and an intensification of the inversion of the 2s-10s yield curve.
  • The markets moved the odds in favor of 50 points, which would reverse the downward shift in hikes the central bank prematurely made just a month ago.
  • The Fed seems to lack a comprehensive assessment of policy risks in today’s inherently fluid domestic and global economy.
Powell’s Comments Unleash Unsettling Volatility
The reaction by stocks and bonds to his remarks is more than just noise. Undue tumult increases the risk of economic and market accidents.   

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