- The US Federal Reserve is hurtling towards one of the toughest calls of its monetary tightening campaign as it decides whether to switch back to more aggressive rate rises at a time of acute economic uncertainty.
- Chair Jay Powell warned the central bank might have to return to half-point rate rises at the conclusion of its next meeting on March 22.
- He said the final decision hinged on a series of crucial forthcoming data releases, which will be published either during or just before a “blackout” period when the Fed is all but forbidden from communicating publicly.
- Most officials saw the fed funds rate topping out somewhere between 5 per cent and 5.25 per cent in December.
- Fresh projections will be released alongside the rate decision this month, with many economists now expecting those forecasts to be revised upwards by at least half a percentage point to 5.5 per cent to 5.75 per cent.
Fed hurtles towards tough call on size of next interest rate rise
US central bank must decide whether to return to more aggressive increases amid economic uncertainty
