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Exploiting the wonderfully weird overnight drift of stocks

US stock market returns are strongest overnight, but exploiting the anomaly is challenging due to trading costs. JPMorgan analysts have constructed a trading strategy using overnight returns as a momentum and reversal signal.

  • US stock market returns tend to be strongest in the overnight session.
  • Factors contributing to this phenomenon include the shortness of formal trading hours, global trading cycles, earnings releases, and the influence of derivatives and index funds.
  • Exploiting the anomaly is challenging due to trading costs and low liquidity overnight.
  • The NightShares ETF has lost almost 6% over the past year.
  • JPMorgan analysts have constructed a trading strategy using overnight returns as a momentum and reversal signal.
Exploiting the wonderfully weird overnight drift of stocks
Trading the witching hour

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