- ECB President Christine Lagarde insists on continuing monetary tightening despite the Federal Reserve's hint on a possible halt to interest-rate hikes.
- Market bets show waning faith in the ECB's hawkish stance enduring.
- Lagarde argues inflation risks remain significant, and the ECB's tightening cycle is less advanced, implying that euro-region banks can avoid financial turbulence in the US.
- However, past experience suggests any divergence won't last, and traders expect the Fed to cut rates by almost 90 basis points before 2023 is over.
- Overall, the ECB is set for more hikes, and a faster wind-down of its balance sheet was even a "hawkish surprise.".
ECB Bid to Diverge From Fed Pits Lagarde Against Tide of History
