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ECB Bid to Diverge From Fed Pits Lagarde Against Tide of History

ECB President Christine Lagarde insists on continuing monetary tightening despite the Federal Reserve's hint on a possible halt to interest-rate hikes. Market bets show waning faith in the ECB's hawkish stance enduring. Traders expect the Fed to cut rates by almost 90 basis points before 2023 is ove

  • ECB President Christine Lagarde insists on continuing monetary tightening despite the Federal Reserve's hint on a possible halt to interest-rate hikes.
  • Market bets show waning faith in the ECB's hawkish stance enduring.
  • Lagarde argues inflation risks remain significant, and the ECB's tightening cycle is less advanced, implying that euro-region banks can avoid financial turbulence in the US.
  • However, past experience suggests any divergence won't last, and traders expect the Fed to cut rates by almost 90 basis points before 2023 is over.
  • Overall, the ECB is set for more hikes, and a faster wind-down of its balance sheet was even a "hawkish surprise.".
ECB Bid to Diverge From Fed Pits Lagarde Against Tide of History

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