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Deepest Bond Yield Inversion Since Volcker Suggests Hard Landing

The bond market is doubling down on the prospect of a US recession after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned of a return to bigger interest-rate hikes to cool inflation and the economy. US stocks extended the decline they’ve suffered over the past month, with the S&P 500 Index notching a 1.5%

  • Fed Chair Jerome Powell warned of bigger interest-rate hikes to cool inflation and the economy.
  • The yield on two-year Treasury notes touched 5.08%, its highest level since 2007.
  • The spread between 2- and 10-year yields is larger than a percentage point for the first time since 1981.
  • Fed hikes over the next four meetings are priced in.
  • Fed Chair Powell is open to reverting to half-point rate hikes.
  • US stocks extended the decline they’ve suffered over the past month.
  • The dollar surged higher Tuesday, with a Bloomberg gauge rising to its highest level since early January.
Deepest Bond Yield Inversion Since Volcker Suggests Hard Landing
The bond market is doubling down on the prospect of a US recession after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned of a return to bigger interest-rate hikes to cool inflation and the economy.

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