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Cost of insuring against US default climbs on debt ceiling fears

US credit default swaps reach their highest level since at least 2008 amid concerns of a potential default, despite being viewed as unlikely. Lower than expected April tax revenues have heightened concerns.

  • One-year US credit default swaps are trading at 106 basis points, their highest level since at least 2008.
  • Investors are moving to protect against or profit from a US default, even though it is still viewed as unlikely.
  • Lower than expected April tax revenues have heightened concerns of a potential default.
  • The US is considered a much higher default risk than most other countries, with CDS for Italy, the UK, and Greece trading at 39, 14, and 46 basis points, respectively.
  • President Biden has warned that a US default would be a financial calamity exceeding anything that's ever happened financially in the US.
Cost of insuring against US default climbs on debt ceiling fears
One-year credit swaps hit highest level since at least 2008

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